The model estimates 2.02 goals for Tamworth and 2.40 for Southend. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tamworth and 6 for Southend, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southend · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tamworth is going head to head with Southend on February 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 35.
Tamworth take on Southend in the England National League on 23 February 2027 at 00:00.
Tamworth are currently placed 18th in the table with 17 points, while Southend occupy 3rd position with 29 points.
Tamworth come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southend have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Southend have 3 wins against Tamworth, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Southend to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.42. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 80%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Tamworth's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Tamworth's last 6 matches.
Tamworth score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southend have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Southend's last 6 matches.