The model estimates 1.16 goals for Swindon Town and 0.93 for Newport County. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Swindon Town and 6 for Newport County, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Swindon Town · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Swindon Town is going head to head with Newport County on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 36.
Swindon Town take on Newport County in the League Two on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Swindon Town are currently placed 13th in the table with 16 points, while Newport County occupy 15th position with 15 points.
Swindon Town come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newport County have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Swindon Town have 11 wins against Newport County, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Swindon Town to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 43%.




Swindon Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Swindon Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.