The model estimates 1.64 goals for Swindon Town and 0.90 for Crawley Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Swindon Town and 6 for Crawley Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Swindon Town · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Swindon Town is going head to head with Crawley Town on January 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 23.
Swindon Town take on Crawley Town in the League Two on 1 January 2027 at 00:00.
Swindon Town are currently placed 13th in the table with 16 points, while Crawley Town occupy 24th position with 6 points.
Swindon Town come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crawley Town have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Crawley Town have 9 wins against Swindon Town, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Swindon Town to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.54. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 49%.




Swindon Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Swindon Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Crawley Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Crawley Town's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Crawley Town's last 6 matches.