The model estimates 1.23 goals for Sutton and 1.60 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sutton and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Carlisle · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sutton is going head to head with Carlisle on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 46.
Sutton take on Carlisle in the England National League on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Sutton are currently placed 12th in the table with 21 points, while Carlisle occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Sutton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Sutton have 3 wins against Carlisle, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Carlisle to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 58%.




Sutton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sutton's last 6 matches.
Sutton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.