The model estimates 1.63 goals for Staphorst and 2.25 for Sparta Nijkerk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Staphorst and 6 for Sparta Nijkerk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sparta Nijkerk · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Staphorst is going head to head with Sparta Nijkerk on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 24.
Staphorst take on Sparta Nijkerk in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Staphorst are currently placed 29th in the table with 9 points, while Sparta Nijkerk occupy 16th position with 17 points.
Staphorst come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sparta Nijkerk have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Sparta Nijkerk have 5 wins against Staphorst, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Sparta Nijkerk to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.88. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 73%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sparta Nijkerk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sparta Nijkerk have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Sparta Nijkerk have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.