The model estimates 3.04 goals for Hearts and 1.15 for Kilmarnock. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hearts and 6 for Kilmarnock, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hearts · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hearts is going head to head with Kilmarnock on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Premiership — Round 22.
Hearts take on Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hearts are currently placed 3rd in the table with 20 points, while Kilmarnock occupy 12th position with 8 points.
Hearts come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kilmarnock have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 115 recorded meetings, Hearts have 46 wins against Kilmarnock, with 29 draws.
Prediction: Hearts to win with probability 68%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.19. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 66%.




In their last 6 matches, Hearts have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Hearts have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hearts score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Kilmarnock have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Kilmarnock's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Kilmarnock's last 6 matches.