The model estimates 0.95 goals for St Gallen and 2.03 for Lugano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Gallen and 6 for Lugano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugano · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Gallen is going head to head with Lugano on November 07, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 13.
St Gallen take on Lugano in the Swiss Super League on 7 November 2026 at 19:00.
St Gallen are currently placed 5th in the table with 16 points, while Lugano occupy 1st position with 31 points.
St Gallen come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 63 recorded meetings, Lugano have 27 wins against St Gallen, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Lugano to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 55%.




St Gallen have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
St Gallen concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, St Gallen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Lugano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lugano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lugano's last 6 matches.