The model estimates 1.86 goals for Sportlust and 1.43 for Staphorst. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sportlust and 6 for Staphorst, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sportlust · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sportlust is going head to head with Staphorst on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 30.
Sportlust take on Staphorst in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Sportlust are currently placed 12th in the table with 19 points, while Staphorst occupy 29th position with 9 points.
Sportlust come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Staphorst have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Sportlust have 4 wins against Staphorst, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Sportlust to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.




In their last 6 matches, Sportlust have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sportlust's last 6 matches.
Sportlust have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.