The model estimates 2.02 goals for Spartans and 1.13 for Dumbarton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spartans and 6 for Dumbarton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spartans · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spartans is going head to head with Dumbarton on November 21, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scotland League Two — Round 15.
Spartans take on Dumbarton in the Scotland League Two on 21 November 2026 at 18:00.
Spartans are currently placed 5th in the table with 15 points, while Dumbarton occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Spartans come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dumbarton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Dumbarton have 1 win against Spartans.
Prediction: Spartans to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.15. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 60%.




Spartans have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Spartans have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Spartans score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Dumbarton's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Dumbarton's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dumbarton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.