The model estimates 1.21 goals for Sparta Prague and 3.30 for Bournemouth. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sparta Prague and 6 for Bournemouth, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bournemouth · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sparta Prague is going head to head with Bournemouth on November 05, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 4.
Sparta Prague take on Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 17:45.
Sparta Prague are currently placed 16th in the table with 4 points, while Bournemouth occupy 3rd position with 9 points.
Sparta Prague come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bournemouth have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bournemouth to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 1-3. Avg goals: 4.52. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 68%.




Sparta Prague have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sparta Prague's last 6 matches.
Sparta Prague score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Bournemouth have won 4 of their last 6 matches.