The model estimates 1.26 goals for Somozas and 1.23 for Gran Pena (Esp). These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Somozas and 6 for Gran Pena (Esp), before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Somozas · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Somozas is going head to head with Gran Pena (Esp) on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division G1 — Round 31.
Somozas take on Gran Pena (Esp) in the Spain Tercera Division G1 on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Somozas are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Gran Pena (Esp) occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Somozas come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gran Pena (Esp) have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Gran Pena (Esp) have 2 wins against Somozas, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Somozas to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.49. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.


Somozas have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Somozas's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Somozas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gran Pena (Esp) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gran Pena (Esp)'s last 6 matches.