The model estimates 2.16 goals for Sertanense and 1.37 for Fazendense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sertanense and 6 for Fazendense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sertanense · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sertanense is going head to head with Fazendense on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Sertanense take on Fazendense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Sertanense are currently placed 46th in the table with 4 points, while Fazendense occupy 53rd position with 1 points.
Sertanense come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fazendense have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Sertanense have 1 win against Fazendense.
Prediction: Sertanense to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.52. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 67%.
SERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSERFAZSertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
Fazendense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Fazendense's last 6 matches.
Fazendense have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
