The model estimates 1.62 goals for Septemvri Sofia 2 and 0.67 for Kyustendil. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Septemvri Sofia 2 and 6 for Kyustendil, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Septemvri Sofia 2 · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Septemvri Sofia 2 is going head to head with Kyustendil on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 17.
Septemvri Sofia 2 take on Kyustendil in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Septemvri Sofia 2 are currently placed 6th in the table with 19 points, while Kyustendil occupy 17th position with 10 points.
Septemvri Sofia 2 come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kyustendil have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Kyustendil have 3 wins against Septemvri Sofia 2, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Septemvri Sofia 2 to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 40%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia 2's last 6 home matches.
Kyustendil have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Kyustendil's last 6 matches.
Kyustendil have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.