The model estimates 2.25 goals for SD Ibiza and 0.58 for Mercadal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for SD Ibiza and 6 for Mercadal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SD Ibiza · 69%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
SD Ibiza is going head to head with Mercadal on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 11.
SD Ibiza take on Mercadal in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
SD Ibiza are currently placed 3rd in the table with 17 points, while Mercadal occupy 12th position with 8 points.
SD Ibiza come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mercadal have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, SD Ibiza have 3 wins against Mercadal, with 1 draw.
Prediction: SD Ibiza to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 40%.
SD Ibiza are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, SD Ibiza have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
SD Ibiza have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Mercadal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mercadal's last 6 matches.
Mercadal have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
