The model estimates 1.38 goals for SC Poltava and 1.13 for Fenix Mariupol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for SC Poltava and 6 for Fenix Mariupol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SC Poltava · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
SC Poltava is going head to head with Fenix Mariupol on November 28, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 18.
SC Poltava take on Fenix Mariupol in the Ukraine Persha Liga on 28 November 2026 at 20:00.
SC Poltava are currently placed 2nd in the table with 24 points, while Fenix Mariupol occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
SC Poltava come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fenix Mariupol have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, SC Poltava have 5 wins against Fenix Mariupol, with 1 draw.
Prediction: SC Poltava to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of SC Poltava's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, SC Poltava have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
SC Poltava have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Fenix Mariupol are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fenix Mariupol have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fenix Mariupol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.