The model estimates 1.55 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.35 for Lillestrom. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sarpsborg 08 and 6 for Lillestrom, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sarpsborg 08 · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sarpsborg 08 is going head to head with Lillestrom on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eliteserien — Round 27.
Sarpsborg 08 take on Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Sarpsborg 08 are currently placed 9th in the table with 31 points, while Lillestrom occupy 15th position with 20 points.
Sarpsborg 08 come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lillestrom have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Sarpsborg 08 to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.90. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Sarpsborg 08's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sarpsborg 08's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sarpsborg 08 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Lillestrom have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lillestrom have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lillestrom's last 6 matches.