The model estimates 1.09 goals for Santa Amalia and 1.18 for Jaraíz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santa Amalia and 6 for Jaraíz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santa Amalia · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santa Amalia is going head to head with Jaraíz on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 12.
Santa Amalia take on Jaraíz in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Santa Amalia are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Jaraíz occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Santa Amalia come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jaraíz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Santa Amalia have 2 wins against Jaraíz.
Prediction: Santa Amalia to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.27. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 48%.
SANJARSANJARSANJARSANJARSANJARSANJARSANJARSANJARSANJARSanta Amalia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Santa Amalia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Santa Amalia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jaraíz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jaraíz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jaraíz have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
