The model estimates 0.76 goals for San Marcial and 0.87 for Varea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for San Marcial and 6 for Varea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 34%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
San Marcial is going head to head with Varea on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 19.
San Marcial take on Varea in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
San Marcial are currently placed 7th in the table with 15 points, while Varea occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
San Marcial come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varea have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Varea have 11 wins against San Marcial, with 1 draw.
Prediction: San Marcial and Varea to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.63. Over 2.5: 22%. BTTS: 33%.


In their last 6 matches, San Marcial have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of San Marcial's last 6 matches.
San Marcial score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Varea are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Varea's last 6 matches.