The model estimates 1.16 goals for Real Aranjuez and 1.90 for CD Móstoles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Aranjuez and 6 for CD Móstoles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Móstoles · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Aranjuez is going head to head with CD Móstoles on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 7 — Round 14.
Real Aranjuez take on CD Móstoles in the Spain Tercera Division Group 7 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Real Aranjuez are currently placed 13th in the table with 7 points, while CD Móstoles occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Real Aranjuez come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Móstoles have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, CD Móstoles have 2 wins against Real Aranjuez, with 1 draw.
Prediction: CD Móstoles to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Real Aranjuez have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Aranjuez have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Real Aranjuez's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, CD Móstoles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CD Móstoles have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
CD Móstoles have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.