The model estimates 3.30 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.94 for Köln. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for RB Leipzig and 6 for Köln, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: RB Leipzig · 72%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
RB Leipzig is going head to head with Köln on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 30.
RB Leipzig take on Köln in the Bundesliga on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
RB Leipzig are currently placed 5th in the table with 12 points, while Köln occupy 13th position with 8 points.
RB Leipzig come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Köln have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, RB Leipzig have 9 wins against Köln, with 5 draws.
Prediction: RB Leipzig to win with probability 72%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 4.24. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 59%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.