The model estimates 2.09 goals for Raith and 0.71 for Morton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Raith and 6 for Morton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Raith · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Raith is going head to head with Morton on December 12, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 18.
Raith take on Morton in the Scottish Championship on 12 December 2026 at 18:00.
Raith are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Morton occupy 9th position with 7 points.
Raith come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Morton have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Raith have 1 win against Morton.
Prediction: Raith to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 46%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Raith's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Raith have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Raith have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.