The model estimates 2.67 goals for Paks and 1.42 for MTK Budapest. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Paks and 6 for MTK Budapest, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Paks · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Paks is going head to head with MTK Budapest on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of NB I — Round 31.
Paks take on MTK Budapest in the NB I on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Paks are currently placed 3rd in the table with 17 points, while MTK Budapest occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Paks come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas MTK Budapest have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, Paks have 20 wins against MTK Budapest, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Paks to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.09. Over 2.5: 78%. BTTS: 71%.




In their last 6 matches, Paks have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Paks have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Paks score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
MTK Budapest have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of MTK Budapest's last 6 matches.
MTK Budapest have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.