The model estimates 1.00 goals for Padova and 1.06 for Avellino. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Padova and 6 for Avellino, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Avellino · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Padova is going head to head with Avellino on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 38.
Padova take on Avellino in the Serie B on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
Padova are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Avellino occupy 12th position with 11 points.
Padova come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Avellino have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Padova have 7 wins against Avellino, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Padova and Avellino to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.06. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 43%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Avellino have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.