The model estimates 1.32 goals for Ourense CF and 1.32 for Atl. Astorga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ourense CF and 6 for Atl. Astorga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atl. Astorga · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ourense CF is going head to head with Atl. Astorga on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Segunda B1 — Round 18.
Ourense CF take on Atl. Astorga in the Spain Segunda B1 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ourense CF are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while Atl. Astorga occupy 13th position with 7 points.
Ourense CF come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Astorga have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Atl. Astorga have 1 win against Ourense CF.
Prediction: Ourense CF to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.


Ourense CF have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ourense CF's last 6 matches.
Ourense CF have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Atl. Astorga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Atl. Astorga score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Atl. Astorga have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.