The model estimates 2.06 goals for Nijmegen and 1.23 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nijmegen and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nijmegen is going head to head with Excelsior on August 22, 2026 at 18:00. Played at Goffertstadion Nijmegen. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 3.
Nijmegen take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie at Goffertstadion Nijmegen on 22 August 2026 at 18:00.
Nijmegen are currently placed 11th in the table with 3 points, while Excelsior occupy 10th position with 3 points.
Nijmegen come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Nijmegen have 17 wins against Excelsior, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Nijmegen to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 63%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Nijmegen's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Nijmegen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nijmegen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.