The model estimates 1.63 goals for Newport County and 1.26 for Cheltenham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Newport County and 6 for Cheltenham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Newport County · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Newport County is going head to head with Cheltenham on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 27.
Newport County take on Cheltenham in the League Two on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Newport County are currently placed 15th in the table with 15 points, while Cheltenham occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Newport County come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cheltenham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Cheltenham have 10 wins against Newport County, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Newport County to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.
NEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHEIn their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.
Cheltenham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Cheltenham have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cheltenham concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
