The model estimates 1.62 goals for Newcastle Utd U21 and 2.89 for Nottingham U21. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Newcastle Utd U21 and 6 for Nottingham U21, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nottingham U21 · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Newcastle Utd U21 is going head to head with Nottingham U21 on November 23, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of England Premier League Cup.
Newcastle Utd U21 take on Nottingham U21 in the England Premier League Cup on 23 November 2026 at 19:00.
Newcastle Utd U21 come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nottingham U21 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Newcastle Utd U21 have 3 wins against Nottingham U21, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Nottingham U21 to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.52. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 76%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Newcastle Utd U21's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Newcastle Utd U21's last 6 matches.
Newcastle Utd U21 score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nottingham U21's last 6 matches.
Nottingham U21 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nottingham U21's last 6 matches.