The model estimates 1.59 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.51 for Melbourne Victory. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Newcastle Jets and 6 for Melbourne Victory, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Newcastle Jets · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Newcastle Jets is going head to head with Melbourne Victory on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of A-League Men.
Newcastle Jets take on Melbourne Victory in the A-League Men on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Newcastle Jets are currently placed 10th in the table with 2 points, while Melbourne Victory occupy 9th position with 2 points.
Newcastle Jets come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Melbourne Victory have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Newcastle Jets to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




In their last 6 matches, Newcastle Jets have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newcastle Jets have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Newcastle Jets score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Melbourne Victory have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Melbourne Victory's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Melbourne Victory have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.