The model estimates 2.40 goals for Nesebar and 1.34 for Montana. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nesebar and 6 for Montana, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nesebar · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nesebar is going head to head with Montana on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Vtora Liga — Round 19.
Nesebar take on Montana in the Bulgaria Vtora Liga on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Nesebar are currently placed 11th in the table with 18 points, while Montana occupy 15th position with 14 points.
Nesebar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Montana have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Montana have 1 win against Nesebar.
Prediction: Nesebar to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.74. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, Nesebar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nesebar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nesebar's last 6 matches.
Montana have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Montana have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Montana's last 6 matches.