The model estimates 1.34 goals for Neom SC and 1.51 for Al Ahli SC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Neom SC and 6 for Al Ahli SC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Ahli SC · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Neom SC is going head to head with Al Ahli SC on December 10, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 17.
Neom SC take on Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League on 10 December 2026 at 20:00.
Neom SC are currently placed 6th in the table with 19 points, while Al Ahli SC occupy 5th position with 21 points.
Neom SC come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al Ahli SC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Al Ahli SC to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Neom SC's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Neom SC have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Neom SC have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Al Ahli SC's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Ahli SC have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al Ahli SC have won 5 of their last 6 matches.