The model estimates 1.48 goals for Nagano and 1.88 for Kagoshima Utd. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nagano and 6 for Kagoshima Utd, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kagoshima Utd · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nagano is going head to head with Kagoshima Utd on November 25, 2026 at 13:00. This match is part of J3 League — Round 19.
Nagano take on Kagoshima Utd in the J3 League on 25 November 2026 at 13:00.
Nagano are currently placed 11th in the table with 17 points, while Kagoshima Utd occupy 1st position with 29 points.
Nagano come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kagoshima Utd have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Kagoshima Utd have 7 wins against Nagano, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Kagoshima Utd to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.36. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 67%.
NAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNAGKAGNagano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Nagano have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nagano's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Kagoshima Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Kagoshima Utd have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Kagoshima Utd's last 6 matches.
