The model estimates 1.65 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.05 for Libertad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mushuc Runa and 6 for Libertad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mushuc Runa is going head to head with Libertad on July 27, 2026 at 19:00. Played at Estadio Bellavista Ambato. This match is part of Ecuadorian Serie A — Round 22.
Mushuc Runa take on Libertad in the Ecuadorian Serie A at Estadio Bellavista Ambato on 27 July 2026 at 19:00.
Mushuc Runa are currently placed 7th in the table with 34 points, while Libertad occupy 19th position with 24 points.
Mushuc Runa come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Libertad have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Mushuc Runa have 3 wins against Libertad, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Mushuc Runa to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 54%.
MUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBMUSLIBBoth teams have scored in 5 of Mushuc Runa's last 6 matches.
Mushuc Runa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Mushuc Runa's last 6 matches.
Libertad have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Libertad's last 6 matches.
Libertad have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
