The model estimates 1.21 goals for Murcia and 0.93 for Jaen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Murcia and 6 for Jaen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Murcia · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Murcia is going head to head with Jaen on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 16.
Murcia take on Jaen in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Murcia are currently placed 6th in the table with 16 points, while Jaen occupy 5th position with 16 points.
Murcia come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jaen have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Murcia to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 44%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Murcia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Murcia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Murcia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jaen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Jaen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jaen's last 6 matches.