The model estimates 0.78 goals for Moquegua and 0.87 for Atlético Grau. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moquegua and 6 for Atlético Grau, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moquegua is going head to head with Atlético Grau on November 14, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Peruvian Primera División — Round 17.
Moquegua take on Atlético Grau in the Peruvian Primera División on 14 November 2026 at 21:00.
Moquegua are currently placed 17th in the table with 28 points, while Atlético Grau occupy 13th position with 39 points.
Moquegua come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atlético Grau have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Atlético Grau have 1 win against Moquegua.
Prediction: Moquegua and Atlético Grau to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.65. Over 2.5: 23%. BTTS: 33%.




Moquegua have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Moquegua have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Moquegua's last 6 matches.
Atlético Grau have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atlético Grau have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atlético Grau's last 6 matches.