The model estimates 1.15 goals for MK Dons and 1.26 for Stevenage. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for MK Dons and 6 for Stevenage, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Stevenage · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
MK Dons is going head to head with Stevenage on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League One — Round 27.
MK Dons take on Stevenage in the League One on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
MK Dons are currently placed 14th in the table with 15 points, while Stevenage occupy 13th position with 15 points.
MK Dons come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stevenage have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, MK Dons have 8 wins against Stevenage, with 5 draws.
Prediction: MK Dons and Stevenage to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, MK Dons have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
MK Dons have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of MK Dons's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Stevenage have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Stevenage score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.