The model estimates 1.11 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.60 for Nagoya Grampus. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mito HollyHock and 6 for Nagoya Grampus, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nagoya Grampus · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mito HollyHock is going head to head with Nagoya Grampus on May 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of J1 League — Round 36.
Mito HollyHock take on Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on 22 May 2027 at 00:00.
Mito HollyHock are currently placed 11th in the table with 0 points, while Nagoya Grampus occupy 12th position with 0 points.
Mito HollyHock come into this match with 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nagoya Grampus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Nagoya Grampus have 1 win against Mito HollyHock, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Nagoya Grampus to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.




Mito HollyHock have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Mito HollyHock have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
Mito HollyHock have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nagoya Grampus's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nagoya Grampus have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nagoya Grampus have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.