The model estimates 2.39 goals for Millonarios and 0.68 for Alianza. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Millonarios and 6 for Alianza, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Millonarios · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Millonarios is going head to head with Alianza on November 08, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Categoría Primera A — Round 19.
Millonarios take on Alianza in the Categoría Primera A on 8 November 2026 at 21:00.
Millonarios are currently placed 5th in the table with 62 points, while Alianza occupy 22nd position with 34 points.
Millonarios come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alianza have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 35 recorded meetings, Millonarios have 19 wins against Alianza, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Millonarios to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 46%.




Millonarios are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Millonarios have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Millonarios's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alianza have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alianza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alianza's last 6 matches.