The model estimates 0.87 goals for Mainz II and 2.41 for SGV Freiberg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz II and 6 for SGV Freiberg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SGV Freiberg · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz II is going head to head with SGV Freiberg on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Sud Sudwest — Round 24.
Mainz II take on SGV Freiberg in the Germany Regionalliga Sud Sudwest on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Mainz II are currently placed 16th in the table with 11 points, while SGV Freiberg occupy 1st position with 27 points.
Mainz II come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SGV Freiberg have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Mainz II have 5 wins against SGV Freiberg.
Prediction: SGV Freiberg to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.28. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 54%.
MAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMAISGVMainz II have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mainz II's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz II's last 6 matches.
SGV Freiberg are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, SGV Freiberg have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of SGV Freiberg's last 6 matches.
