The model estimates 1.67 goals for Lok. Sofia and 1.72 for Botev Plovdiv. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lok. Sofia and 6 for Botev Plovdiv, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lok. Sofia · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lok. Sofia is going head to head with Botev Plovdiv on November 07, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 14.
Lok. Sofia take on Botev Plovdiv in the Parva Liga on 7 November 2026 at 19:00.
Lok. Sofia are currently placed 11th in the table with 9 points, while Botev Plovdiv occupy 5th position with 19 points.
Lok. Sofia come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Botev Plovdiv have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Lok. Sofia have 22 wins against Botev Plovdiv, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Lok. Sofia to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, Lok. Sofia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lok. Sofia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lok. Sofia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Botev Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Botev Plovdiv have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Botev Plovdiv's last 6 matches.