The model estimates 1.42 goals for Lincoln Red Imps and 2.71 for Hajduk Split. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lincoln Red Imps and 6 for Hajduk Split, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hajduk Split · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lincoln Red Imps is going head to head with Hajduk Split on November 05, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 3.
Lincoln Red Imps take on Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 November 2026 at 17:45.
Lincoln Red Imps are currently placed 34th in the table with 0 points, while Hajduk Split occupy 8th position with 6 points.
Lincoln Red Imps come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hajduk Split have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.13. Over 2.5: 78%. BTTS: 72%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Lincoln Red Imps's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lincoln Red Imps have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lincoln Red Imps's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Hajduk Split have won 4 of their last 6 away matches.