The model estimates 1.23 goals for Liberia and 1.34 for Saprissa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Liberia and 6 for Saprissa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Liberia is going head to head with Saprissa on October 11, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Costa Rican Primera División — Round 10.
Liberia take on Saprissa in the Costa Rican Primera División on 11 October 2026 at 20:00.
Liberia are currently placed 9th in the table with 33 points, while Saprissa occupy 1st position with 87 points.
Liberia come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Saprissa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 61 recorded meetings, Saprissa have 37 wins against Liberia, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Liberia to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Liberia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Liberia have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Liberia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Saprissa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Saprissa have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Saprissa's last 6 matches.