The model estimates 1.62 goals for Leuven and 1.66 for St. Truiden. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leuven and 6 for St. Truiden, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leuven · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leuven is going head to head with St. Truiden on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Jupiler Pro League — Round 18.
Leuven take on St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Leuven are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while St. Truiden occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Leuven come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas St. Truiden have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Leuven to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.




Leuven have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leuven have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Leuven's last 6 matches.
St. Truiden have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
St. Truiden have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of St. Truiden's last 6 matches.