The model estimates 1.03 goals for Leningradets and 1.44 for Ulyanovsk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leningradets and 6 for Ulyanovsk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ulyanovsk · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leningradets is going head to head with Ulyanovsk on November 28, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 20.
Leningradets take on Ulyanovsk in the Russia 1 Division on 28 November 2026 at 19:00.
Leningradets are currently placed 17th in the table with 11 points, while Ulyanovsk occupy 11th position with 18 points.
Leningradets come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ulyanovsk have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Leningradets have 1 win against Ulyanovsk.
Prediction: Ulyanovsk to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.




Leningradets have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Leningradets have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Leningradets concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ulyanovsk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Ulyanovsk have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ulyanovsk's last 6 away matches.