The model estimates 1.52 goals for Leiria and 1.01 for Amarante. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leiria and 6 for Amarante, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leiria · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leiria is going head to head with Amarante on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 23.
Leiria take on Amarante in the Liga Portugal 2 on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Leiria are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Amarante occupy 17th position with 5 points.
Leiria come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Amarante have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Leiria have yet to beat Amarante, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Leiria to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.53. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Leiria have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Leiria's last 6 matches.
Leiria score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Amarante have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Amarante have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
Amarante concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.