The model estimates 2.15 goals for Leek and 1.55 for Lancaster. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leek and 6 for Lancaster, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leek · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leek is going head to head with Lancaster on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 35.
Leek take on Lancaster in the England Northern Premier on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Leek are currently placed 18th in the table with 14 points, while Lancaster occupy 12th position with 20 points.
Leek come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lancaster have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Leek have 3 wins against Lancaster.
Prediction: Leek to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.71. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 71%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leek have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lancaster have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lancaster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lancaster's last 6 matches.