The model estimates 1.36 goals for Leeds United and 0.73 for Sunderland. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leeds United and 6 for Sunderland, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leeds United · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leeds United is going head to head with Sunderland on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 37.
Leeds United take on Sunderland in the Premier League on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Leeds United are currently placed 12th in the table with 11 points, while Sunderland occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Leeds United come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sunderland have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 78 recorded meetings, Leeds United have 34 wins against Sunderland, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Leeds United to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.08. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 40%.




Leeds United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leeds United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 matches.
Sunderland have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.
Sunderland have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.