The model estimates 1.36 goals for Lealtad and 1.35 for Covadonga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lealtad and 6 for Covadonga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Covadonga · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lealtad is going head to head with Covadonga on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 2 — Round 17.
Lealtad take on Covadonga in the Spain Tercera Division Group 2 on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lealtad are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Covadonga occupy 2nd position with 19 points.
Lealtad come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Covadonga have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Covadonga have 7 wins against Lealtad, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Lealtad to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.72. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 57%.
In their last 6 matches, Lealtad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Lealtad's last 6 matches.
Lealtad have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covadonga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Covadonga have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Covadonga's last 6 matches.