The model estimates 2.09 goals for Lealtad and 0.71 for Astur. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lealtad and 6 for Astur, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lealtad · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lealtad is going head to head with Astur on December 13, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 2 — Round 15.
Lealtad take on Astur in the Spain Tercera Division Group 2 on 13 December 2026 at 20:00.
Lealtad are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Astur occupy 14th position with 5 points.
Lealtad come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Astur have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lealtad to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 46%.
In their last 6 matches, Lealtad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Lealtad's last 6 matches.
Lealtad have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Astur have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Astur have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Astur's last 6 matches.