The model estimates 2.55 goals for Lazio and 1.14 for Fiorentina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lazio and 6 for Fiorentina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lazio · 70%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lazio is going head to head with Fiorentina on May 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 38.
Lazio take on Fiorentina in the Serie A on 30 May 2027 at 00:00.
Lazio are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Fiorentina occupy 19th position with 4 points.
Lazio come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 163 recorded meetings, Lazio have 65 wins against Fiorentina, with 45 draws.
Prediction: Lazio to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.69. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 64%.




Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.