The model estimates 1.84 goals for La Serena and 1.18 for A. Italiano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for La Serena and 6 for A. Italiano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: La Serena · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
La Serena is going head to head with A. Italiano on December 06, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Chilean Primera División — Round 30.
La Serena take on A. Italiano in the Chilean Primera División on 6 December 2026 at 21:00.
La Serena are currently placed 8th in the table with 39 points, while A. Italiano occupy 12th position with 29 points.
La Serena come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas A. Italiano have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 29 recorded meetings, A. Italiano have 17 wins against La Serena, with 6 draws.
Prediction: La Serena to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 60%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of La Serena's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, La Serena have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of La Serena's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, A. Italiano have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of A. Italiano's last 6 matches.
A. Italiano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.